I
have been totally blown over by Dougald
Hine’s
At
Work in the Ruins (2023) which
I read as the most profound exploration of our world views -
and of how the combination of his experience of
caused
him to question those world views. And to pose more profound challenges than simply those of global warming. The book digs deep into the ways we try to make sense of the world - a subject which I dealt with not so long ago. Here's how Hine describes it -
“Two
paths lead from here: one big, one small. The
big path
is a brightly-lit
highway on which many lanes converge. It unites elements of left and
right, from Silicon Valley visionaries and Wall Street investors,
through a broad swathe of liberal opinion, to the wilder fringes of
Fully Automated Luxury Communism, and in some form it will constitute
the political orthodoxy of the 2020s. It sets out to limit the damage
of climate change through large-scale efforts of management, control,
surveillance and innovation, oriented to sustaining a version of
existing trajectories of technological progress, economic growth and
development.
The
small path is a trail that branches off into many paths. It is
made by those who seek to build resilience closer to the ground,
nurturing capacities and relationships, oriented to a future in which
existing trajectories of technological progress, economic growth and
development will not be sustained, but where the possibility of a
‘world worth living for’ nonetheless remains. Humble as it looks,
as your eyes adjust, you may recognise just how many feet have walked
this way and how many continue to do so, even now.
Which
of these paths I would have us take is clear enough. The big path
is a fast track to nowhere. We will not arrive at the world of
fossil-free jumbo jets promised by the airport adverts. The
entitlements of late modernity are not compatible with the realities
of life on a finite planet and they do not even make us happy. But we
may well follow that path for a while longer, as it leads us deeper
into dystopia and leaves us more dependent on fragile technological
systems that few of us understand or can imagine living without.
And
what I think I can see now is that the very language of climate
change will be owned, from here on out, by the engineers and
marketeers of the big path. Any conversation about the trouble we
are in, so long as it starts within the newly politicised frame of
science,
will lead inexorably to their solutions.
However
far it may be from our political roots,
we find that we have more in common with assorted
conservatives, dissidents and sceptics – including some whose
scepticism extends to climate science – than with the mainstream
progressive currents that have so far had a claim to be on the
right side of history when it comes to climate change. Under the
authority of ‘the science’, talk of climate change will belong
to the advocates of the big path, and those of us who do not wish
to contribute to that future will need to find another place to start
from when we want to talk about the depth of the trouble the world is
undoubtedly in.”
(pp34/35)
Along
the way the author meets other travellers who also challenge the
conventional wisdom – people like my compatriot Alastair
McIntosh and others such as VM
de Oliveira (“Hospicing
Modernity”),
James
Bridle (“New
Dark Age”) and
Justin
Smith. The
book continues thus -
The
path we are on now looks like a dead end and we are left to look for
other paths worth taking. The way we answer such a question can be
informed by science, but science alone cannot answer it for us
because we’re not
dealing with the kind of question that can be answered definitively
through processes of observation, measurement and calculation.
Rather, what we have is a
question that calls for the exercise of judgement. And
it cannot not be answered, since any response to climate change will
contain an implicit answer. If the question is not made explicit –
if the existence of upstream questions, these questions that take us
beyond the boundaries of what science can tell us about climate
change, is not recognised – then the default answer will be to
treat it as
bad luck and pursue some combination of techno-fixes and lifestyle
adjustments.
The
trouble is, compared to the promise of science, the exercise of human
judgement looks terribly fragile and fallible. Indeed, from early in
the development of modern science, before it even got that name,
there have been those who hoped that scientific ways of seeing and
knowing the world could free us from dependence on the exercise of
judgement and the disputes to which it often leads. You can trace
this hope within the history of environmentalism and the climate
movements arising from it. Yet to expect scientific knowledge to
take the place of the exercise of judgement is to ask too much of
science, and those who have done so tend to end up disappointed,
as we shall see.
In
1987, the Brundtland Report had established ‘sustainable
development’ as the frame within which the international community
would talk about the planetary situation: a framing which yoked the
pursuit of ecological sustainability to the trajectory of economic
and technological development, without any proof that this pairing
could pull in the same direction. In hindsight, the five years
between its publication and the Rio Earth Summit of 1992 appear as a
high
tide of international concern and intergovernmental action around the
environment that remains unsurpassed to this day.
This was also the moment at which the environmental movement drew
back from the terrain of culture and established a new relationship
with science. No longer was the scientific evidence a starting point
for a larger questioning of society or making political arguments;
now
the evidence itself was to
make the case for change, to carry the weight and do
the work of politics.
This
turn is not hard to understand: in countries where Green politicians
had entered parliament, the demands of working within existing
institutions drove a certain kind of ‘realism’. Meanwhile,
the journey of David Icke from BBC sports presenter to Green Party
principal speaker to promoter of lizard-related conspiracy theories
offered a cautionary example of how the attempt to call your whole
culture into question could unravel. pp59-60
UPDATE
The conventional wisdom tells us that people strongly resist challenges to
their world views – they have a bias toward confirmation of their belief
system. If there is one book I would recommend on this subject of changing
minds, it is Howard Gardner’s Changing Minds – the art and science of changing our
own and other people’s minds (2004) which is nicely summarised in this video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHzyYMgVaqk