Readers know that, for the past 24
years, I’ve been involved in efforts to strengthen the effectiveness of various
state institutions in such countries as Azerbaijan, Bulgaria (where I am now),
Hungary, Kyrgyzstan, Romania and Uzbekistan. I’m trying at the moment to edit a
collection of my musings over the past 5 years about this work – to which I’ve
given the tentative title of “Getting to Denmark” which is the rather ironic phrase
used in the last couple of decades to refer to one of the basic puzzles of
development – how to create stable, peaceful, prosperous, inclusive, and honest
societies (like Denmark).
We owe the phrase to Francis Fukuyama
- of "End of History" and The Origins of Political Order fame – although the issue is one to
which thousands of experts have bent their minds and careers for more than half
a century.
Fukuyama’s
small 2004 book “State-Building:
Governance and World Order in the 21st Century” appeared at the end of a
decade which had seen organisations such as The World Bank lead the charge
against the very notion of the State. The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989,
after all, had confirmed the anti-state, pro-greed philosophy which had begun
to rule Britain and American during the Reagan and Thatcher years and became
enshrined in the global ideology which has ruled us since - of ruthlessly
transferring state assets to the private domain.
Fukuyama’s
focus on how state capacity could be strengthened went, therefore, against the
grain of a lot of thinking – although his main interest was trying to
understand what makes some states successful and others fail? To what extent,
he was asking, can we transfer our knowledge about what works in one state to
another?
We know what ‘Denmark’
looks like, and something about how the actual Denmark came into being
historically.
But to what extent is that
knowledge transferable to countries as far away historically and culturally
from Denmark as Bulgaria, Moldova and Romania?”
To be honest, his question didn’t
mention Bulgaria and Romania - but, rather, Somalia. But the question remains
since Bulgaria has made absolutely no progress in the last 25 years. And
Romania only in the last couple of years.
Now,
how can we talk of any improvement when from 9.0 million in 1989 the Bulgarians
today number 7.5 million? An estimated 2.0 to 2.5 million people having left
for good, of which about half represent the quintessential “brain drain”. This
exodus represents in my view a self-inflicted national genocide that the ruling
Nomenklatura is collectively guilty of, and should one day be held accountable
for.
How
can we talk of improvement in the economic situation of a country which 20
years after 1989 has a GDP about the same size as it was then? What do we make
of the facts that today:·
- about
one third of the population is living below the poverty line;
·
about
one third is just hovering at and above it;
·
the
minimum monthly salary is less than 150 euro;
·
the
minimum pension is less than 140 euro, and that is just above the (official)
poverty line; you might want to learn that there are about 3 million retired
people in this country – obviously a large portion of them seek additional
source of revenue, such as e.g. in the grey economy; the rest rely on
remittance from abroad, in order not to starve, the alternative being
scavenging the garbage bins;
·
the
average monthly salary is less than 350 euro – if we assume that it is
realistic, which it is not, being an official number as well, but it’d be too
long to dwell on here;
·
before
1989, all Gypsies were working and all their kids were studying in school;
today most Gypsy parents are unemployed and on state benefits (apart from those
pestering the French, the Italians, Brits etc.) and – protected by idiotic EU
policies – engage in theft, damage of property and all kind of other criminal
activities, begging apart; and the majority of Gypsy kids boycott schooling,
whatsoever;
·
before,
education, medicare, social security, recreation were all free or quasi-free of
charge – no more today;
·
before,
there was an incredible emphasis on culture; today cultural life in Bulgaria is
a 24 carats example of the perfect disaster;
·
before,
there was respect for the traditional values (we are one of the oldest peoples
in the world, respectively claiming one of the richest palette of traditions),
unlike today when the only “value” ruling over here is the very same – first
and only one – that rules America and, after being imported a while ago, in
Western Europe: making money, and fast!
·
From
a reasonably well economically developing – albeit under Soviet diktat – and
prospering – no unemployment, no poor, no beggars, every citizen “middle class
member,” no illiteracy, no housing problem, surplus in food, export of
manufactured goods – country then, today’s “democratic” Bulgaria manifests all
the characteristics of a banana republic and keeps sinking in the ranking,
already a Third World member by most measures. What a remarkable
accomplishment, indeed!
In
brief, the “transition” from “Communism” to “Democracy” has brought the
Bulgarian state to its knees and the Bulgarian people have been impoverished as
never before in the country’s millennia old history. Contrary to popular
belief, membership into EU has further contributed to the disaster. I have
explained this in detail in my recent book “Bulgaria, terra europeansis incognita”
No wonder all independent polls today report that in 60-80% of the responses,
within the relevant age groups, people consider having been better off prior to
the arrival of “Democracy!” The masses being nostalgic to “Communism” is the
true achievement of 20+ years under “Democracy” – that is the only real result
which you could, in all fairness, take pride in contributing to, if you wish,
no objections here.
Now,
before you stick to me a label of Commie or another affiliation of that sort,
let me inform you that, in 1982, I defected to Belgium, where I am a
citizen with accomplished career of executive in the microelectronic industry,
recently retired, and my Bulgarian citizenship was restored only in 1994.
Moreover, in 1954 my father, a regional enterprise director in Burgas,
Bulgaria, was sentenced to death by the Communist “People’s Tribunal” for
“economic sabotage of the young socialist republic,” in a mock up of a trial
designed to scare the populace into submission. In 1955, at the age of 35, he
has been executed, leaving behind a son of 7 and a daughter of 2; my mother has
not been given the body, nor have we been shown his grave.
Nobody else, therefore, could be better
qualified as advocate AGAINST Communism. …..but Communism (a single party
Nomenklaturocracy) and Representative Democracy (a multi-party one) are
basically the same animal, the ideology being used essentially as a tool to
justify how all elites stay in power.
My recent post about the result of the Romanian Presidential elections shows that
Romania has at last started to pull itself out of the vicious downward spiral.
Time now to explore the reasons for these divergent paths in neighbouring
countries.
This
2009 paper by Alica Mungiu Pippidi - House of
Cards – building the rule of law in ECE - gives a good insight into the
efforts the EU has made in the past decade to get ex-communist countries to
break away from their gangster cultures. But it doesn’t begin to explain the
different paths these two countries have taken in the past few years…….