what you get here

This is not a blog which opines on current events. It rather uses incidents, books (old and new), links and papers to muse about our social endeavours.
So old posts are as good as new! And lots of useful links!

The Bucegi mountains - the range I see from the front balcony of my mountain house - are almost 120 kms from Bucharest and cannot normally be seen from the capital but some extraordinary weather conditions allowed this pic to be taken from the top of the Intercontinental Hotel in late Feb 2020

Friday, August 30, 2024

A CONFESSION

I was slightly distracted when I wrote the last post - by the English poet Philip Larkin whose book The Complete Poems of Philip Larkin (ed Archie Burnett 2012) I had pulled down from the shelves and started to read – leading me in turn to download both it and two others about the poet  

of his poems and more a commentary on his work.
hardly the most fascinating of reads being letters to his mum and sister but does contain some of his wonderful cartoon sketches
Larkin was the poet who wrote Annus Mirabilis which begins

Sexual intercourse began
In nineteen sixty-three
(which was rather late for me) -
Between the end of the "Chatterley" ban
And the Beatles' first LP.

The last post may have created some confusion in readers between the State 
(as an inanimate object - which continues to fascinate me) and the government 
of the day – about which I am much less interested. It’s passing strange that 
the State arouses so little interest amongst citizens. You would have thought 
that an organisation which controls such a large part of our lives and manages 
such a huge budget would have been of interest. But it’s the Government of the 
day that attracts the attention and ire rather than the functions of the state
and the recent debate about the DEEP STATE (in right-wing circles)  is little 
more than a gross oversimplification. To help readers, I’ve extracted this list of
books about the state from one of the Annexes to the current draft of my The
Search for Democracy – a long journey 
review article (Comparative Politics vol 16 no 2 Stephen Krasner 1984) From the late 1950s until the mid-1970s the term state virtually disappeared from the professional academic lexicon. Political scientists wrote about government, political development, interest groups, voting, legislative behavior, leadership and bureaucratic politics, almost everything but "the state." However, in the last decade "the state" has reappeared in the literature. If you are feeling very adventurous, I would try two short articles - Stuart Hall’The State in Question” (1984) or David Held’s “Central Perspectives on the Modern State (1984)

Thursday, August 29, 2024

RUMINATIONS ON WHAT THE STATE CAN AND CAN’T DO

Twitter was alive yesterday with the aftermath of Monday’s big speech from the UK PM about the grim actions needed to repair the 22 billion deficit left from the Conservatives (whoever said they managed the economy well?? The Labour party generally is left inheriting their mess)

This has brought into focus the question of whether states actually need to 
balance their budgets. Economists such as David Blanchflower and Richard Murphy 
are amongst those who take a different view, supporting the work of Stephanie 
Kelton in her The Deficit Myth – Modern Monetary Theory and the birth of 
the people’s economy (2020) which she presented (with useful slides) in a 
discussion a few years ago with the OECD. It’s not an easy topic to get your 
head around and I found this a good objective presentation 

But it takes me back to a more fundamental question which has been exercising 
me for the past couple of decades – namely the limits on state capacity. 
Recent posts from Aurelien and crazed Dominic Cummings on this coincided 
with this more positive post from Paul Cairney about a new vision for UK government.
Cairney’s post references a 2021 article of his which has, at the end, a link to 
a contemporary story of policy” which links in turn to a fantastic article on  
Ostrom and the bright side of public service” which superbly summarises the 
entire literature on government failures and suggests a way forward.
It’s hardly surprising that some 50 years of neoliberalism have seriously dented 
the capacity of the State. But it’s taken some time for us to notice the combined 
effects of privatisation and Austerity on the British State.  
I’m loathe to credit Cummings with anything since he was the brains behind 
Brexit and also the key political adviser not only to Michael Grove (when he was 
Education Minister) but also to Boris Johnson (before becoming one of his bitterest
 critics). But the man blogs interestingly eg
almost all large organisations incentivise (largely implicitly/unconsciously) preserving 
existing power structures and budgets, preventing system adaptation, fighting against 
the eternal lessons of high performance excluding most talent, and maintaining 
exactly the thing that in retrospect will be seen as the cause of the disaster. 
Large organisations naturally train everyone who gets promoted to align themselves 
with this dynamic: dissent is weeded out. Anybody pointing out ‘we’re heading for an 
iceberg’ is ‘mad’, ‘psychopath’, ‘weirdo’ — and is quickly removed. And even the very 
occasional odd characters who a) see, b) are able to act and c) have the moral courage 
to act are highly constrained in what they can do given the nature of large institutions 
and the power of the forces they confront. (Even Bismarck in 1871-5 or Stalin in the 
1930s, more powerful than anybody else in their country, were highly constrained in 
their ability to shape forces like automation, though they could help or hinder their 
particular country’s adaptation


Even Boris Johnson was forced to put his pen to an admission of failure when 
he allowed this Declaration on Government Reform published in 2021, before 
his ignominious resignation. In 2024 this note on a New Vision for the UK government
 was published by the Academy of Social Sciences 
Positive Public Policy embraces a range of approaches aiming to facilitate effective 
government and policymaking. Some are relatively new while others have been discussed 
and studied for decades without realising their full potential. These include the 
concept of the strategic state, systems-thinking, place-based approaches, evidence
-informed government, public participation, and behavioural public policy. 
What connects these approaches is (i) an appreciation of the complexity and 
inter-connected nature of policy contexts, (ii) a belief in the capacity of collective 
action to address shared challenges, and (iii) a commitment to the collection, synthesis 
and application of different forms of knowledge. Each has been tested and is 
underpinned by an accumulation of evidence – including, good practice, frameworks, 
case studies, and policy learning – and together they provide a coherent reform 
agenda and a fresh portfolio of ways of designing and delivering high-performing 
public policy.
Years of instability in UK government have eroded underlying capacity for reform. 
The General Election will be conducted against the backdrop of financial stress 
across government, and no reform is cost-free. Will an incoming government give 
priority to getting its own house in order? And taking the leap of faith reform 
requires? Positive Public Policy embodies the vision of real change to drive change 
to address the significant social, economic and environmental challenges we face. 
It provides a range of approaches, tools and methods for designing and delivering 
effective public policy, and the clear, coherent and sustainable story of reform 
required to lower barriers to change and to leveraging resources.
What we need is the political will and sustained capacity to trial and test the insights 
of Positive Public Policy in a UK context, and this in turn calls for investment in 
connective and catalysing engagement opportunities between researchers and 
policymakers. There’s an urgent need to connect the positive public policy academic 
community with practitioners at scale in order to help constitute the policymaking 
tools that governments can use as they grapple with the ‘art of the possible’ to 
translate lofty ideals into practices that might work in their own context. 
Now is the time to attract and devote resources towards trialling, tracking and 
evaluating experimentation in more future-oriented, holistic, and more participatory 
approaches to government.
Quite a few mouthfuls there!!

See also “Pathways to Positive Public Administration”  a book scheduled to 
come out in October 2024. The opening chapter is here; and the second here

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Michael Moran

 I’ve just come across a little book The End of British Politics? published in 2017 by Michael Moran which has made such a deep impression that I’ve been driven to try to identify what it was about the writing that appealed to me. But first I need to say something about the author - 

WJM McKenzie Professor of Government at the University of Manchester 
from 1990 to his retirement in 2011. The British Academy has this wonderful 
tradition of requiring the few academics who warrant the honour of being invited 
to join of having a third party write a detailed obituary which goes under the 
name of “bibliographical memoir” (It’s not clear whether the recipient gets to 
see it before his death). This is Moran’s which covers his unusual dive into 
trade union history, industrial relations and banking – fields which are rarely 
linked and reveal a dangerous interest in inter-disciplinary work evident in his 
link with the Sheffield Political Economy Research Institute (SPERI). 
Let me give you a taste of the writing -

This analytic history is tied together in the following pages by three ideas.

  • Providentialism is the conviction that the British are a people with a special destiny. That imagined destiny has changed over time. It began as an almost biblical conviction that the British were a chosen Protestant people. It ended in the tragedy of Iraq as military providentialism: the conviction that Britain’s destiny was to have a warfare state which would help police the world. That is why in the final chapter there is an account of the Iraq tragedy and, in particular, of the verdict of the Chilcot Report on that tragedy.

  • Messianism is connected with providentialism. It expresses the conviction that the British have a pioneering purpose – whether that purpose was the diffusion of Protestantism, the creation of Empire, or the invention of Parliamentary government.

  • Statecraft is the practice which allowed different versions of providentialism and messianism to prevail at different historical moments. It is so called because it covers the ways elites competed for control of the state and what they did with state power once it was in their grasp.

The more or less permanent 18th-century sense of crisis in the face of aggressive multinational Catholicism had disappeared, and the state was edging towards absorbing the excluded sects – congregational, catholic and Jewish – into some kind of accommodation. But the 18th-century age of creation left powerful marks. By the beginning of 19th century, latitudinarianism and scepticism were being powerfully challenged by new evangelical public philosophies. In Britain – by contrast with Germany, for instance – religion remained central to civic philosophy. The rituals of the British state were infused with religious symbolism. Across much of northern Europe elites turned from the consolations of religion to the consolations of art – exemplified by the extraordinary cult of music, especially opera, in Germanic societies. By contrast the great Victorian musical experience was Mendelssohn’s Elijah (1846), a self-conscious homage to the Handelian celebrations of the British elect. The complexities and ambiguities of Britishness are symbolised by the fact that it was composed by a Berliner of Jewish heritage patronised by a Queen who spoke German by preference.

Imagine someone in 1914 trying to predict the course of British politics over the succeeding sixty years. Had they read the future from the past they would surely have been misled. The constitution looked likely to be a perpetual source of conflict. The place of established religion; the allocation of authority between the centre and Celtic fringes; the range of the suffrage, especially as it concerned women: all were disputed, and all went to the core of British identity. Yet within a few years of the end of the War, all had either been resolved or suppressed. The system settled into a sixty-year period of stability in a centralised polity dominated by elites rooted in the metropolis. A new kind of Britishness had been created. It is as well to begin with the disputes that disappeared. The Representation of the People Act of 1918 enfranchised women over the age of thirty, to all intents and purposes enfranchised all men aged over twenty-one, and in the process tripled the size of the electorate (from about seven to twenty-one million). For the remainder of the century, electoral law was subject only to tweaks: equalising the qualifying age of women and men (1928) and lowering the qualifying age to eighteen (1969). In short order there were two astonishing achievements: establishing a long lived consensus about a critical boundary of the constitution, the electorate, and settling the “woman question.”

The new rules guaranteed two party hegemony by rejecting all systems of proportional representation, thus establishing one of the key features of British politics for over sixty years: electoral domination across Britain by two Britain wide organised parties. And the woman question was decisively settled in favour of men: beyond the vote, women made almost no advance until the renewal of political feminism in the 1980s. And the BBC version of high culture was astonishing in its metropolitan parochialism: talks and debates typically involved boulevardier philosophers (Isaiah Berlin), Bloomsbury bohemians (Vita Sackville-West), and Farm Street Jesuits (Father Copleston).

What is evident for me is -

  • a strong historial sense

  • creative use of language

  • familiarity with a wide range of literature

  • wicked asides

  • revealing a self-confidence which comes perhaps from the relief of knowing that he can now, in retirement, speak his mind

He continues -

The post-war settlement was not excessively generous but was thin and mean. It was restricted in the range of entitlements it offered. It was restricted in the range of class groups that it attached to the state by those entitlements. As a consequence it could not effectively do the job for which it was designed – to attach citizens to the state. Esping-Andersen’s comparative study of welfare states, published just at the moment when the terminal decay of the post-warmodel was becoming plain,makes the problem clear. It placed the British welfare state, alongside nations like the United States, in a class of welfare regimes which extended only residual entitlements:

  • they restricted the range of benefits to particular social groups rather than creating entitlements universally available to all citizens;

  • they used gatekeepers with wide discretionary powers to control the power of citizens to claim entitlements.

These principles governed the heart of welfare regimes in labour markets, but they also governed what was emblematic of the British system of social citizenship, and supposedly a great mark of universalism, the National Health Service. Far from being generous, the Service was, by international standards, strikingly parsimonious, and it was parsimonious because the medical profession – especially the General Practitioner – was the gatekeeper to the exercise of entitlement.

This was the system that fell apart, mostly in the 1970s. The experiences of that decade shaped the cult of epochalism, the ‘decline of Britain’ imagery that for so long dominated political vocabularies. But agency and statecraft falsified this dismal vision. The state was recreated, mostly after 1979, though some important reinventions of what it meant to be ‘British’ preceded that date. The recreation took four particularly important forms:

  • recasting the post-war settlement;

  • reshaping the relations between the state and civil society;

  • reshaping the constitution; and

  • reshaping British identity.

Far from being a tale of endless decay, it is a story of renewal, especially by Thatcherite Conservatism and by New Labour. Much of that renewal has endured. But nothing lasts forever. By the new millennium, the reinvented state was in trouble, troubles that culminated in the turbulence of the Great Financial Crisis, the fiasco of military providentialism in Iraq, the challenge of Scottish nationalism and the option for ‘Brexit’.

P56 The democratic state that emerged in a very brief time at the end of the First World War was produced by the crisis of war and panic at the spectre of left wing militancy. But it was only ever partly modernised. The new leading party of the left, Labour, became a defender of constitutional traditionalism: of Unionism, of Westminster Parliamentary sovereignty, of the dignified monarchy, of Whitehall secrecy and, generally, of a constitution which substituted tacit understandings for explicit codification. This half antiquated constitution was modernised by the state after 1979, with governments of both parties making a large contribution. Since ‘modernisation’ carries normative implications I should stress that it is used here in a dispassionate sense: to denote a shift from the tacit to the explicit, to equipping the state with the means to inspect itself and to inspect and control the wider community. It is thus of a piece with the changes already described in the relationship between the state and civil society. The state thus did far more than reshape institutions external to itself. It revolutionised its own capacity to practise self-inspection.

This is the theme of the large literature, mostly concerned with the years of Conservative, rule that documents the rise of regulation inside government. It amounted to a momentous shift, especially in the administration of the core executive and the agencies over which it had control like the prison service. It involved a shift within public administration from autonomous systems of collegial self-government to inspection, measurement and appraisal. The institutional manifestation of that change was the rise of a whole new system of inspecting institutions inside government: the reorganisation of audit in the foundation of the National Audit Office in 1983; and the creation or reform of inspectorates for policing, for prisons, for social services, for pollution and health and safety.

This shift in internal inspection capacities overlapped with a profound reshaping of the territorial constitution. Three key parts were transformed.

  • First, the Conservative Governments after 1979 destroyed the arrangement dating from the end of the First World War involving an informal division of spheres between the metropolitan centre and the institutions of local government. After 1979, in pursuit of budgetary controls and the search for public sector efficiency the government destroyed those understandings, replacing them with greatly increased control by the central state expressed in formal, statutory language. This destruction was confirmed by the Blair Governments after 1997.

  • Second, in passing the Single European Act of 1986 the state abandoned the Diceyan doctrine of Westminster Parliamentary supremacy. An increasing proportion of policy, and indeed of law, from then on was the product of the EU policy making system. The shift is all the more striking because the abandonment of the doctrine was the work of a Conservative, ‘unionist’, government. That shift went with another well documented change: the ‘Europeanisation’ of the governing system, which meant in large part the increasing codification of governing practices to bring them into line with EU norms.

  • In the decades after 1979, the Thatcher and the Blair governments also profoundly reshaped a third feature of the territorial constitution, beginning with what was the coping stone of the Union – Northern Ireland. The original imposition of direct rule in 1972 was a prelude to the wholesale dismantling of the Ulster system. The state performed the herculean task of cleansing out the Augean stables of Unionist jobbery. The Fair Employment Acts of 1976 and 1989 imposed on the public sector in the province the most comprehensive fair employment regime in Europe. By the 1990s the state had, at great human cost, used its coercive and surveillance resources to fight the nationalists to a stalemate and to bring them to the point of seeking a negotiated settlement. The Conservative Government in the 1990s, as the historical standard bearer of the Union, could for obvious reasons only engage in covert negotiations with Sinn FĂ©in and the Provisional IRA. Towards the end of the Major Premiership its capacity to negotiate was hampered further by the contingent fact that the Government’s Westminster Parliamentary majority relied on Ulster Unionist votes.

All these measures are institutionalised. That is, while they may be modified, and even repealed (as the Conservative Government returned in the election of 2015 threatened to do with the Human Rights Act) they have now irrevocably changed the practice of government, and changed it in the direction of modernisation – which is to say, in the direction of codification and reporting in the language of accountability. But they are also plainly closely connected to another key development in the state’s capacities: a great increase, in the new age of cross border terrorism, in the state’s powers to spy on its citizens, and to exchange the results of spying with allied states. That was the dominant revelation of the ‘Snowden papers’ published in 2013.

Wednesday, August 21, 2024

WHEN THEY COME FOR YOU..

I am deeply concerned about what is happening to independent journalists in the UK – with squads of police meeting planes when they arrive in the country and subjecting them to degrading treatment for their opinions. I don’t pretend to understand the implications of the various anti-Terrorist Acts which have been passed in the UK since 2000 by both Labour and Conservative governments – but they are having a chilling effect on the freedom of expression that the Brits used to pride themselves for. Here’s the latest incident

Richard Medhurst was coming home through Heathrow airport, only to be arrested 
and have his equipment confiscated. He was questioned under his alleged support for 
a proscribed terrorist organisation, presumably Hamas, but he was told very little 
about why he was detained! He was kept in uncomfortable conditions for 24 hours 
and not allowed to notify friends or family of his arrest. He is now unsure if police 
are going to allow him to work, meaning he could be left without an income.
The police officers who arrested Medhurst know there is zero chance that he is a 
terrorist. He has made his opposition to violence and terrorism loud and clear, but 
whereas terrorism used to mean you were planning to kill people, it now means you 
have expressed opinions the state has not authorised.
Medhurst described what happened when the plane landed quite brilliantly and passionately 
on X/Twitter. The police and government have surely met their match in him.

Medhurst is unquestionably pro-Palestinian and has posted tweets which could
be interpreted as supportive of Hamas. For example, he has stated that Hamas
“has a legal right to resist an invading, occupying force.” These words are perfectly
true, of course. Any people have a right to resist invading forces, so long as they
do so within the confines of international law. While you could certainly argue
that Hamas does not respect international law, neither does Israel, and Israel
is the invading force, plus it has killed 33 times more civilians than Hamas (and
that is probably a significant underestimate). Medhurst has criticised Hamas for violating international law, for example, stating
it was wrong for a Hamas guard to execute an Israeli hostage. Medhurst’s position
seems to be that Palestinians have a right to resist invasion and occupation, so
long as they respect international law, and when they fail to do so, that is wrong. The prime minister of the UK, on the other hand, has argued Israel has a right
to invade, occupy and starve Palestine, as long as it does so within the confines
of international law (which is basically what Medhurst said about Hamas!) The
problem is Israel cannot do those things within the confines of the law as the
International Court of Justice has made clear. From a legal perspective Starmer’s
position is more problematic than Medhurst’s. He is ignoring the ICJ’s ruling
that arms sales and other support for Israel must stop immediately, yet he
has not been arrested. If Medhurst can be arrested for tweets that could be seen as supportive of Hamas,
why are people not being arrested for supporting the IDF? Why are Zionists
allowed to express support for clearly genocidal actions? We’ve seen the horrific
mass rapes at the Sde Teiman concentration camp. If a Twitter user expresses
their sympathies for the accused IDF soldiers, will they be arrested? We live in a country where a teenage girl can lose her citizenship for being groomed
online and flying to Syria to marry an ISIS member when she was a minor, but
a British citizen can fly to Israel, participate in the destruction of 80% of
the homes in Gaza, the killing of tens of thousands (perhaps 200,000) civilians,
and even run a rape centre where prisoners are sodomised with electrified
metal poles, and then they can return home and get on with their life as
though nothing happened.

  If you object to this, there is every chance you will be arrested for a hate

crime!

British citizens are allowed to participate in terrorism and genocide for the
Israeli state, our politicians are allowed to supply the weapons that blow Palestinian
children to pieces, but if someone criticises the Israeli state, they are the ones
who are treated as terrorists! It’s not just Richard Medhurst who has fallen foul of our censorship laws,
it’s Vanessa Beeley, Craig Murray, Kit Klarenberg, and most noteworthy of
all Julian Assange. When people are not arrested for wrong think, they are
sacked, and it’s not just the journalists like Sangita Myska, it’s the academics
like David Miller and Amira Abdelhamid. But it’s not just high profile cases of people being silenced, ordinary people are
being arrested for wrong think at an increasing rate. Yet the government wants
to introduce more censorship laws that would, among other things, treat misogyny
like terrorism and crack down on any ideology seen as radicalising young people.
Given that we’ve heard accusations of TikTok turning young people into Hamas,
you can see where this is going…... I don’t think people appreciate the risk independent writers take by standing
up for what’s right. We can have our livelihood threatened at any moment and
be taken away from our families. I’m genuinely worried about going through
an airport in case someone has objected to one of my articles. I’m left
wondering if my door will be broken down for a tweet, even though I oppose
violence and terrorism in the strongest possible terms. I’ve already made the
decision that if the state ever tried to censor me, I would defy them, even if
that meant going to jail, but it’s crazy I have to think like that in a so-called
free society. The UK is becoming everything it accuses China of being.

 

UPDATE 

He’s still under investigation – “flight risk” intimating  they never close an 
investigation https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JV-VdMxODM 

https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1djGXrzPBBvxZ interview with George Galloway
Further Update

Yet another journalist - Sarah Wilkinson - has been arrested by the pro-Genocide regime

of the UK Government. She was subjected to horrific treatment as indicated in an untervieww she did

which is discussed in this post

https://www.councilestatemedia.uk/p/shocking-revelations-about-sarah

Yet another update
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uk-police-charge-co-founder-palestine-action-under-terrorism-act

FURTHER UPDATE
Police admitted they had taken her passport and have now removed all bail conditions
https://x.com/i/status/1832753916481605780