what you get here

This is not a blog which opines on current events. It rather uses incidents, books (old and new), links and papers to muse about our social endeavours.
So old posts are as good as new! And lots of useful links!

The Bucegi mountains - the range I see from the front balcony of my mountain house - are almost 120 kms from Bucharest and cannot normally be seen from the capital but some extraordinary weather conditions allowed this pic to be taken from the top of the Intercontinental Hotel in late Feb 2020

Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Beautiful Books

I’ve reached the stage when I have as many books in my virtual books (5000) as in my physical. Neagu Djuvara was a Romanian intellectual (he died at 97 years old) and produced a Brief Illustrated History of Romanians which immediately went into my short list of Beautiful Books. To qualify for this honour, a book has to fit standards none too easy to specify – such as

  • paper type (thickish and rough),

  • format,

  • balance of text and illustrations,

  • typeface,

  • graphics

  • textual content. 

In principle, art and cookery books should be beautiful – but their glossiness is usually offputting – Beaneaters and Bread Soup - portraits and recipes from Tuscany (2007) and Food from Plenty (2010) were exceptions. And travel books should be attractive eg the Pallas Athene books on Czechoslovakia (out of print) and Romania.

John Berger and Jean Mohr’s A Fortunate Man (Penguin 1969) is probably top of my list of beautiful books. Its perhaps significant that its pictures are in black and white – as, naturally, is Andre Kertesz’s On Reading (see also here)

A History of Reading by Alberto Manguel is also a treat - both for content and visual impact. Vincent van Gogh – ever yours is a marvellous mix of graphics and letters from and to Vincent and his brother Theo who gave him both moral and financial support. Another favourite is a Folio edition of Machiavelli’s The Prince (1970)

As someone who can spend a few hundred euros on a single painting, I should probably be willing to pay more then 20 euros for a book - and be more demanding in my requirements of books. Indeed, having (self-)published several little books, it is probably time again to venture down that path - this time perhaps producing a "beautiful book"!  

It was only a few years back that I realised that I had become a collector – not just of paintings but of various small objects which appealed to me in the various countries I worked in. Painted boxes; wooden spoons; ceramics; figurines and sculptures.... some of my favourite objects are (empty) unlined notebooks – products of those countries which craft superb specimens of such wood/paper products eg Italy, Latvia and Bulgaria.

Monday, August 4, 2025

Desert Island Library

This is a post I did all of 15 years ago - Paul Mason, one of the BBC economics correspondent (all of whom do excellent blogs), is running a lovely Christmas challenge at the moment – the 50 books which your library has to have. The challenge was apparently first made in 1930 by an American journalist who received a letter from a friend who wrote:

"As for the library, I want no more than fifty books. And none of them modern; that is, 
no novels that are coming off the presses these last ten years. Are there fifty intelligent 
books in the world? If you have time send along a list of fifty books, I promise to buy 
them and have them beautifully bound. I am consulting you as I would my lawyer. 
I have not time to develop a literary consciousness at my age. So if you were cutting 
your own library down to fifty books, which books would you keep?"
He has made the challenge more difficult by preventing us from consulting our 
shelves or the internet – so I did my best last night but have now had the time to 
reflect more and consult some booklists; What follows is therefore a slightly updated 
version of the entry I posted on his site (number 81 I think)
A library should be for consulting – the glories of novels, short stories, poetry, essays
should be available there but also art and human knowledge. With only 50 books allowed, 
novels (of any sort) will have to be excluded - which means no “Buddenbrooks” (Thomas 
Mann) or “Candide” (Voltaire) let alone any of the powerful South Americans 
(Jorge Amado's "Gabriela, Clove and Cinnamon", Allende’s “Eva Luna”, Marquez’s , 
“Love in the Time of Cholera” or Llosa ‘s “The War of the End of the World”) or Yehoshuova’s 
“The Liberated Bride” from Israel.
However, some books come in 
multi-volume collections eg Lewis Crassic Gibbon’s
“Sunset Song”; Lawrence Durrell’s “The Alexandrian Quartet”; Olivia Manning’s “Balkan 
Trilogy”; and Naguib Mahfouz’s “Children of the Alley” and therefore give good bangs for 
bucks. Perhaps they might be allowed to stay.
And remember what Nassim Taleb calls Umberto Eco's "antilibrary" concept - that read
books are less valuable than unread ones - a library should be a research tool. 
Collections of essays, poetry and short stories also give much more reading per book 
(unless it’s War and Peace) - so the collected poetry of Brecht, TS Eliot, Norman McCaig 
and WS Graham would be the first four books; as well as the Collected Short Stories of 
Nabokov, William Trevor, Carol Shields, Heinrich Boell and Alice Munro; and the essays 
of Montaigne.
If allowed, I would also have a few collections of painters eg the Russian Itinerants or
Scottish colourists. Chuck in an Etymology and a couple of overviews of intellectual 
endeavours of recent times such as Bill Bryson’s “A Short History of Nearly Everything” 
and Peter Watson’s “A Terrible Beauty” - and I would then have space for 35 individual 
titles.
My basic criteria would be (a) the light thrown on the European dilemmas of the last 
century and (b) the quality of the language and the book as a whole.
The books I would keep are
Robert Michels; 
Political Parties (1911)
Reinhold Niebuhr; 
Moral Man and Immoral Society (1932)
Joseph Schumpeter; 
Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (1942)
Arthur Koestler; 
The Invisible Writing (1955)
Leopold Kohr; 
The Breakdown of Nations (1977)
Gerald Brennan; 
South from Granada (1957)
JK Galbraith; 
The Affluent Society (1958)
Ivan Illich; 
Deschooling Society (1971)
Robert Greene; 
48 laws of power (for the breadth of the stories from the medieval world including China)
Tony Judt; P
ostwar History of Europe since 1945

Richard Cobb; Paris and Elswhere
Vassily Grossman; 
Life and Fate
Roger Harrison; The Collected Papers (in the early days of organisational analysis)
Clive James; 
Cultural Amnesia (on neglected European literary figures particularly of
the early 20th century – written with verbal fireworks)
JR Saul; 
Voltaire’s Bastards – the dictatorship of reason in the west
Amos Oz; 
Tale of Love and Darkness
Claude Magris; 
Danube
Julian Barnes; 
Nothing to be Frightened Of
Michael Foley; 
The Age of Absurdity – why modern life makes it impossible to be
happy
Toby Jones; 
Utopian Dreams
Michael Pollan; 
The Omnivore’s Dilemma
Nassim Taleb; T
he Black Swan – the impact of the highly improbable
Roger Deakin; 
Notes from walnut tree farm
Geert Maak; 
In Europe – travels through the twentieth century
Donald Sassoon; 
A Hundred Years of Socialism – a history of the western left in
the 20th century
Theodor Zeldin; T
he Intimate History of Humanity
Of course Marcus Aurelius’ Meditations and Machiavelli’s The Prince should be there –
and at least one book on the Chinese contribution to the world.
This leaves 6 empty spots - about which I shall think carefully!

This time in 2009 I was in the mountain house (also with minimal snow) and 
thinking about the useful literature on public administrative reform!

Sunday, August 3, 2025

ARE ELITE THEORISTS CLOSET FASCISTS?

Since university, I’ve had a fascination with elite theories espoused a hundred years ago by the Italians Gaetono Mosca, Vilfredo Pareto and the German Robert  Michels. But I discovered today that the latest exponent of elite theory, one Neema Parvini, is a right-wing activist academic who has, however, written two useful-looking books - 

core a thesis, which absolutely contradicts the democratic or populist delusion, that the 
people are or ever could be sovereign. An organised minority always rules over the 
majority. Perhaps as a testament to that fact, a recent empirical study showed that 
public opinion has a near-zero impact on law-making in the USA across 1,779 policy 
issues. In fact, my thesis goes further than that to suggest that all social change at 
all times and in all places has been top-down and driven by elites rather than ‘the 
people’. Those movements which have the appearance of being organic and bottom-up protests—for example, the 1960s Civil Rights movement in the USA or the Russian 
Revolutions of 1917—were, in fact, tightly organised and funded by elites. Those 
attempts to drive change from the ‘bottom-up’, which is to say, in the absence of elite 
organisation—we might think of the events of 6th January 2020 in Washington DC or 
the recent Yellow Vest movement in France—will amount to little more than an inchoate rabble.
or “prophets of doom”, not just the 3 indicated in the opening sentence 
but 8 others
Clearly Machiavelli has a lot to answer for – with various authors such as Wells, 
Burnham, Jay, Lord and Powell all impatient to get into the act

Further Reading

Saturday, August 2, 2025

What British People Think

A fascinating (and large) report published last week helps make sense of what seems to be the increased polarisation in western societies. Shattered Britain (2025) is published by what has become one of the most interesting polling NGOs in several countries More in Common.

Chapter One provides an overview of the most important forces that are shaping public attitudes on how Britons are feeling about themselves and the country in 2025 and what drives those perceptions of shattered Britain.

  • Incrementalist Left - 21 per cent of the population A civic-minded, community-oriented group holding views which are generally left-of-centre but with an aversion to the extreme; they prefer gradual reform over revolutionary change. They trust experts and institutions yet are largely tuned out of day-to-day politics and can be conflict-averse, stepping away from issues they see as particularly fraught or complex.

  • Established Liberals - 9 per cent of the population A prosperous, confident segment who believe the system broadly works as it is and who trust experts to deliver continued progress. They have a strong belief in individual agency which can make them less empathetic to those who are struggling. Institutionally trusting, they maintain faith in democratic processes and have a strong information-centric way of engaging with issues.

  • Sceptical Scrollers - 10 per cent of the population A digitally-native group whose unhappiness with the social contract means they have lost faith in traditional institutions and seek alternative sources of truth online. Often shaped by their experience of the Covid pandemic, they prefer individual influencers over mainstream media and are increasingly drawn to conspiratorial thinking.

  • Rooted Patriots - 20 per cent of the population A patriotic but politically untethered group which feels abandoned and overlooked by political elites and yearns for leaders with common sense, but does not want to overthrow the system as a whole. They are particularly concerned about community decline and the pressures of migration. Interventionist on economics but conservative on social issues, they have shaped much of Britain's politics over the past decade.

  • Traditional Conservatives - 8 per cent of the population Respectful of authority and tradition, this group believes in individual responsibility and established norms that have served them well. Nostalgic for the past but optimistic about the future, they are deeply sceptical of many forces of change such as immigration or the path to net-zero.

  • Dissenting Disruptors - 20 per cent of the population Frustrated with their circumstances and with an appetite for radical solutions, this group craves dramatic change and strong leadership. Highly distrustful of institutions, opposed to multiculturalism and feeling disconnected from society, they are drawn to political movements that promise to overhaul the status quo and put people like them first.

Chapter Two explores emerging fault lines among the British public. It looks at how Britons’ attitudes to individual agency, multi-culturalism, freedom of speech, appetite for change and other factors are emerging as key dividing lines in the British public. 

Chapter Three introduces each of the British Seven segments that emerge from our indepth polling of the British public, and explores what motivates these segments, what makes them unique and the common ground and division between them.

Chapter Four uses the framework of the British Seven segments to understand diverging public attitudes to three key policy debates: the economy, climate change, immigration, along with changing media habits.

Chapter Five explores how the segments can help understand our fragmenting political environment in the UK, charting the rise of Reform UK, the drift from the Conservatives and Labour, as well as the choices on offer to our political parties. This chapter also previews forthcoming More in Common deep dives into Scottish and Welsh politics using the segment lens, ahead of next year’s Holyrood and Senedd elections.

Friday, July 25, 2025

Free Speech

I have already indicated that Yascha Mounk is someone I distrust – because of his serving as Tony Bliar’s Head of whatever he now calls his Institute. But he has been posting some important stuff on this subject and at a conference on free speech reproduced on substack of which I’ve taken the liberty to quote some excerpts -

Over the last days, I’ve been genuinely impressed speaking to many participants of this forum. For many people around the world, advocating for freedom of speech is not some abstract endeavor. They face severe consequences if they speak up against the dictators that rule their countries. It is inspiring to hear how so many people are standing up for fundamental democratic values under genuinely scary circumstances. At the same time, there is always a danger at these kinds of conferences of looking out into the world and identifying trouble everywhere other than at home. It would be easy to say, in effect: “Look at all of those benighted places—thank god we have it so much better here!” So my goal with my remarks today is to ensure that we don’t fall into that trap.

Let me start with a geographic guessing game. Imagine a country where a citizen dislikes the government and shares a meme depicting the deputy head of that government as an idiot, parodying a ubiquitous shampoo ad. This politician then invokes a special law protecting elected officials, prompting the police to raid the citizen’s home at 6am, to confiscate his laptop, and to initiate criminal proceedings. Can you guess what country this could have happened in? The answer is: Germany. Here is another example. Two parents become upset about how their daughter’s elementary school handles certain matters, voicing their concerns in a parents’ WhatsApp group. The school leadership reports these parents for “malicious communication.” The police arrive at the home of the parents, take them into custody for many hours, and begin criminal proceedings against them. Any guesses about where this took place? The answer is: the United Kingdom.

What you’ve heard about the United States so far at this conference is right. We are in the midst of serious attacks on free speech from the White House. The Trump administration has deported—or tried to deport—individuals based on their political beliefs. And it has also put enormous financial pressure on universities because it disagrees with their ideology. When Elon Musk purchased Twitter in 2022, he promised to restore free speech. But while he did end some genuinely restrictive forms of censorship, he also used his control of the platform to amplify content he happens to like and to suppress views he doesn’t. Despite promising to defend free speech globally, Musk has repeatedly complied with demands for censorship from authoritarian governments.

There is no reason to trust that the most powerful people in the United States are sincere when they claim that they are defending free speech. I have warned about the rise of right-wing populism and the threat it poses to liberal democracy for the better part of a decade, and you won’t hear me make any excuses for these kinds of actions today. The threat to free speech in the United States is grave. But before we become too self-congratulatory, I believe it’s important to ask ourselves how consistent the supposedly pro-democratic or liberal forces with which many of us here in this room identify are about supporting those same principles of free expression. And it turns out that there are very real challenges in this realm as well.

Five years ago, we were in the middle of one of the most deadly pandemics in human history. One of the important questions concerned its origins. Did Covid originate in the natural world, or was it the accidental consequence of gain-of-function research in a lab with inadequate safety precautions? Answering this question was crucial for us to know how to deal with Covid; to take precautions for how to prevent the next pandemic; and to reflect on the kinds of rules which should in future constrain potentially dangerous forms of biological research. And yet, for the better part of two years, investigative journalists and eminent biologists who were collecting evidence for the so-called lab leak theory were censored by major social media platforms.

That same German government minister I mentioned earlier reported over 800 citizens to the police over the course of his three years in power. In Britain, there were at least 12,000 arrests based on things that people had said online—and that’s just in 2023. And yet, many speakers at this gathering, which calls itself the World Expression Forum, have dismissed anybody who defends an “absolutist” conception of free speech. Some have even cavalierly asserted that any reasonable person should of course favor democratic governments censoring so-called “misinformation.” So let me, in the rest of these remarks, say a few things in favor of that much-maligned “absolutist” conception of free speech. When we talk about the value of free speech, we like to dwell on its positive contributions. In On Liberty, John Stuart Mill emphasizes that free expression isn’t just necessary to allow us to search for the truth or protect us from error; it’s also necessary so that we hold pre-existing beliefs which turn out to be right as “living truths” rather than as “dead dogmas.” He was, I think, very prescient in suggesting that, should everybody agree on some important subject, we should have to encourage some devil’s advocates to argue for the opposite point of view—lest all of us forget why our beliefs were well-founded in the first place. Mill’s arguments are convincing to me. But I understand that they can seem a little bit abstract at a time when there is a genuine threat from extremist political forces—a time when many people, rightly or wrongly, are blaming the rise of these forces on the prevalence of so-called “misinformation.” That’s why, in the chapter on free speech in my last book, The Identity Trap – a sttory of ideas and power (2023) I did not focus on the positive things that come from having free speech; I focused on the negative consequences that flow from not having free speech. And the first of these is simply that we have to ask ourselves very carefully about who is actually empowered to make decisions about what people can and cannot say in any regime of censorship.

A lot of the time, opponents of free speech say: “These restrictions are necessary to protect the most vulnerable members of society, those who are most at risk from online hate.” But who actually has the power to make decisions about what is censored and what is allowed? Is it the weak and the marginalized? Or is it executives at tech companies who decide what kind of content you can post on Twitter and Facebook and TikTok? Is it, perhaps, legislators and bureaucrats and judges who determine which acts of online communication are so “malicious” that they justify locking people up?

The other point I want to make as somebody who has long been deeply concerned about the stability of our political systems relates to the fundamental promise of democracy. In a democracy, we can tolerate it when somebody on the other side of the political spectrum wins because we retain the ability to make the case for our own ideas and values. Over the course of the next four years, we are able to fight for our own vision of what our country should be, of what kinds of policies we should pass. The fact that the losers of an election know that they will still be able to make their voices heard is key to stabilizing the system.

When you take away freedom of speech—even if it is just forms of political speech that most of us in this room would find to be deeply distasteful—you jeopardize this momentous achievement. Under those circumstances, losers are much more likely to say: “The stakes of this election are existential. If I lose, I may no longer be able to argue for the things that are important for me. So why should I just step aside?”

This is the strange paradox about invoking threats to democracy as a reason for censorship, as so many at this forum—some explicitly, many implicitly—have done over the last day: By and large, the crackdown on free speech that we citizens of democratic countries have tolerated over the last decades is motivated by genuine concern about the rise of extremism in our politics. But ironically, the result of this crackdown has been to make many citizens more mistrustful of democratic institutions, more mistrustful of the media that won’t let them think for themselves, and more mistrustful of politicians who claim that they can decide for others what they should be able to say or read. And that mistrust, in turn, is one of the main reasons why more and more people are voting for these extreme political forces.

As I was preparing these remarks, I remembered a relatively minor text by one of the major thinkers of the 20th century: George Orwell. In 1946, Orwell attended a congress by PEN, an organization supposedly devoted to defending free speech. But as e recorded in a lovely little essay called “The Prevention of Literature” he did not get the impression that this congress really was all that devoted to the defense of free expression:

Out of this concourse of several hundred people, perhaps half of whom were directly connected with the writing trade, there was not a single one who could point out that freedom of the press, if it means anything at all, means the freedom to criticize and oppose. [There was no] mention of the various books which have been “killed” in England and the United States during the war. In its net effect the meeting was a demonstration in favor of censorship. There was nothing particularly surprising in this. In our age, the idea of intellectual liberty is under attack from two directions. On the one side are its theoretical enemies, the apologists of totalitarianism, and on the other its immediate, practical enemies, monopoly and bureaucracy. Any writer or journalist who wants to retain his integrity finds himself thwarted by the general drift of society rather than by active persecution.

I think that, here at the World Expression Forum, we have a choice to make as to whether to resemble that PEN Congress back in 1946. And so, to use an Americanism, I would urge all of you to walk and chew gum at the same time. We can and we should denounce the terrible dictators who are throwing people in jail around the world. We can and we should point out that the Trump administration is infuriatingly insincere when it invokes the cause of free speech to justify deporting people from the country due to their political views. And at the same time, we can and we should also recognize that the severe limits on free speech which have over the course of the last decades been normalized in countries like Germany and the United Kingdom are deeply antithetical to any idea of “free expression” worth defending.

Tuesday, July 22, 2025

Democratic BackSliding?

Thomas Fazi is an interesting German who has just produced an article How Western Democracy Died which reminded me of a couple of books which presaged the current disenchantment with western liberalism - David Runciman’s How Democracy Ends (2019) and Steve Levinsky’s How Democracies Die (2019)

Whether in Britain, Germany or Ireland, censorship has become routine across Europe and beyond, even as dissent is increasingly criminalised and legal systems are weaponised to suppress opposition. In recent months, these trends have escalated into direct assaults on the basic institutions of democratic governance. In Romania, to give one example, an entire election was annulled because it delivered the wrong outcome, while other countries contemplate similar measures too.

In theory, all this is being carried out in the name of defending democracy. In truth, the purpose is clear: to help ruling elites maintain their grip on power in the face of a historic collapse of legitimacy. Whether they will succeed in doing so remains to be seen. What is clear, though, is that the stakes are enormous. If elites manage to entrench their control through increasingly authoritarian means, the West will enter a new era of managed democracy — or democracy in name only. 

 As far back as 2000, political scientist Colin Crouch coined the term “post-democracy” to describe the fact that, even though Western societies boasted the trappings of freedom, they had increasingly become a meaningless facade. Elections, Crouch argued, had become tightly managed spectacles, orchestrated by professional persuaders who operated within a shared neoliberal consensus — pro-market, pro-business, pro-globalisation — and offered voters little choice on fundamental political or economic questions. Citizens, for their part, played a passive role, helpless in the face of political and corporate power. The historical defeat of socialism shrank the ideological space in the West, foreclosing any fundamental challenge to capitalism and enabling the emergence of a technocratic, depoliticised governance model underpinned by the “TINA” (There Is No Alternative) consensus around neoliberalism — centred on individual responsibility, market hegemony and globalisation. 

Geopolitically, meanwhile, US “hyperpower” status allowed it to aggressively assert global hegemony, creating a unipolar “new world order”. This was underpinned by structural economic shifts within the West: the decline of traditional manufacturing, and the Fordist-Keynesian social contract, replaced by services, labour dispersion, precarity and fragmentation. Most Western countries saw manufacturing employment decline by a third-to-half in absolute numbers. This pulverised the working class as a unified political subject — along the way wrecking trade unions and other material symbols of postwar mass politics. Beyond these institutional shifts, meanwhile, unelected elites increasingly interfered in the democratic processes of member states. The ECB’s “monetary coup” against Berlusconi in 2011, where the central bank effectively forced the prime minister to leave office by making his ouster the precondition for further support for Italian bonds and banks, is one good example here. The financial blackmail of Greece’s Tsipras government is another. Taken together, anyway, these events led some observers to suggest that the EU was becoming a “post-democratic prototype” — one fiercely opposed to national sovereignty and democracy both.

Western liberal democracy, even minimally defined as representative government based on universal suffrage, is a very recent phenomenon. Full male suffrage emerged in a limited number of countries only between the middle of the 19th century and the beginning of the 20th. Women’s suffrage generally came after the Second World War. Effective voting rights for racial minorities, such as African Americans, arrived decades later. In short, democracy as universal adult suffrage, regardless of wealth, property, race or class, has existed for mere decades. Previously, it was the exclusive domain of propertied elites, or else based on sex or skin colour. All the same, it’d be wrong to idealise the mid-century West. Even then, democracy in its substantive sense remained heavily constrained. Though the ruling classes were forced — under pressure from popular movements, the Cold War, and the threat of social unrest — to extend voting rights and acknowledge a range of political and social rights, they did not do so willingly. On the contrary, they were often driven by the fear that the masses could pose a real threat to the established social order — that workers might use democracy to overturn existing power relations. As a result, alongside economic concessions, Western elites also constrained democratic participation in various ways. Modern constitutional systems — including nascent supranational ones like the European Court of Justice, established in 1952 — explicitly limited popular sovereignty. Elected governments were prevented from enacting certain economic or social policies, or even challenging existing international alliances. All the while, power shifted. Parliaments got weaker, and technocrats and judges grew more powerful, each in their way proving capable of overriding national laws. This was often justified as a way of protecting democracy from what elites feared could be the irrational or destabilising demands of the masses — a longstanding argument in liberal political thought that equates too much popular participation with the risk of populism, mob rule or economic irresponsibility.

This challenges common conceptions of the state: across the Western world, we 
are accustomed to identifying the state with the executive and with parliament, 
assuming that these institutions act in accordance with constitutions and the rule 
of law. But this is a misunderstanding: the state doesn’t coincide with the 
institutions of representative democracy. Rather, the two belong to entirely 
distinct spheres of politics. On the one hand, there is the politics of the state. 
On the other, there is what we might call popular politics, embodying popular 
sovereignty and typified by political parties, trade unions, social movements and 
civil society. The state operates with a significant degree of autonomy from the 
latter, meaning it is not only largely independent of civil society, but also of 
parliaments and even governments themselves.

In theory, after all, state bureaucracies act as neutral executors of government 
policy. In reality, they often act independently of, or even in opposition to, elected 
parliaments and governments, particularly when it comes to protecting institutional 
continuity, legal norms or elite interests. Supreme and constitutional courts, for 
example, frequently rule against government policies — especially when it comes 
to controversial issues like immigration. The way in which the Bank of England 
derailed Liz Truss’s infamous mini-budget is another example here. This phenomenon 
is obviously much more pronounced when national governments are subordinated to 
supranational institutions, as in the European Union. And then, of course, you have 
the military and intelligence bureaucracies, which today arguably exercise more 
influence than ever before (see, for instance, the Russiagate hoax).
The state thus emerges as a social organism endowed with its own internal logic and 
continuity, capable of pursuing goals and directions often independent of those 
declared or pursued by the political leadership of the day. This has always been true 
— even if, depending on the relative balance of class forces within society, the state 
may at times be forced to make concessions to the forces of popular politics. 
In other words, then, today’s crisis doesn’t represent democracy’s sudden collapse, 
but instead the unveiling of how power truly works. The contemporary crisis of Western 
democracy exposes the limits of formal democratic institutions, bringing the logic of state 
power into blindingly sharp relief.

Further Reading; In the past decade, we have been deluged by hundreds of 
books on the decline of liberal democracy and the various threats it faces – 
very little of it worth much. 
- The book I recommend as a guide through this confusion is David Runciman’s 
How Democracy Ends (2017) which uses the metaphor of a “mid-life crisis” to explore 4 different 
ways in which democracy might end – a coup; catastrophes such as ecological or pandemics; 
technological takeover; or “improved systems”. One of its nice features is embodying guides to 
other books. Violence stalks the fringes of our politics and the recesses of our imaginations, without ever 
arriving centre stage. It is the ghost in this story. Second, the threat of catastrophe has changed. Where the 
prospect of disaster once had a galvanising effect, now it tends to be stultifying. We freeze in the face of our 
fears. Third, the information technology revolution has completely altered the terms on which democracy 
must operate. We have become dependent on forms of communication and information-sharing that we 
neither control nor fully understand. All of these features of our democracy are consistent with its getting 
older. I have organised this book around these three themes: coup; catastrophe; technological takeover. 
    • I start with coups – the standard markers of democratic failure – to ask whether an armed 
takeover of democratic institutions is still a realistic possibility. If not, how could democracy be subverted
without the use of force being required? Would we even know it was happening? 
The spread of conspiracy theories is a symptom of our growing uncertainty about where the threat really lies.
 Coups require conspiracies because they need to be plotted by small groups in secret, or else they don’t 
work. Without them, we are just left with the conspiracy theories, which settle nothing.
  • Next I explore the risk of catastrophe. Democracy will fail if everything else falls apart: nuclear war,

calamitous climate change, bio-terrorism, the rise of the killer robots could all finish off democratic
politics, though that would be the least of our worries. If something goes truly, terribly wrong, the
people who are left will be too busy scrabbling for survival to care much about voting for change.
But how big is the risk that, if confronted with these threats, the life drains out of democracy anyway, as we
find ourselves paralysed by indecision?
    • Then I discuss the possibility of technological takeover. Intelligent robots are still some way off.

But low-level, semi-intelligent machines that mine data for us and stealthily take the decisions
we are too busy to make are gradually infiltrating much of our lives. We now have technology
that promises greater efficiency than anything we’ve ever seen before, controlled by corporations
that are less accountable than any in modern political history. Will we abdicate democratic responsibility
to these new forces without even saying goodbye?
    • Finally, I ask whether it makes sense to look to replace democracy with something better.

A mid-life crisis can be a sign that we really do need to change. If we are stuck in a rut, why don’t
we make a clean break from what’s making us so miserable? Churchill famously called democracy
the worst system of government apart from all the others that have been tried from time to time.
He said it back in 1947. That was a long time ago. Has there really been nothing better to try since
then? I review some of the alternatives, from twenty-first century authoritarianism to twenty-first
century anarchism.
Alasdair Roberts (2018) does look to be the best of the more detailed analyses of the deficiencies 
of the contemporary American system. Roberts produced recently the quite excellent 
"Strategies for Governing"
- I was not at all taken with ”The People v Democracy – why our freedom is in danger and how 
to save it”; Yashka Mounk (2018) but I’m biased since he worked for Tony Bliar’s Foundation. 
It has an index but no bibliography. 
- Empire of Democracy – the remaking of the West since the Cold War 1971-2017 by Simon 
Reid-Hentry (2019) was promising enough for me to buy it but was subsequently the focus of a 
brilliant and critical master-class review by historian Richard Evans (click title for that).
It too has an index but no bibliography. 
- How Democracy Ends, David Runciman (2019)
- How Democracies Die S Levinsky and D Ziblatt (2019)
- Democracy in America – what has gone wrong and what we can do about it Page and Gilen 
(2020 edition) 
- Twilight of Democracy – the seductive lure of authoritarianism Anne Applebaum (2020) 
reviewed by Quillette and by Helen Epstein  
- Autocratization turns viral (Democracy report 2021 - from V-Dem institute) gives a useful 
update of how democracy continues to slip globally…

- Autocracy – the dictators who want to run the world Anne Applebaum (2024)

The last 3 books remind me of a post I did 4 years ago about authoritarianism

The "authoritarian personality” was a major focus of academic interest in the immediate 
post-war period not only with Hannah Arendt (quoted) but, even more, Theodor Adorno
I was introduced to political sociology in the early 1960s by a Romanian, Zevedei Barbu  
who had produced in 1956 a book which drew on both social psychology and sociology 
Democracy  and Dictatorship. 
One of my tests for a book is to go to the end and look at the bibliography and index. 
I trust those authors who refuse to follow the dreadful academic tradition of listing every 
book they know on a subject - and who have the confidence, instead, to select a small 
number of books they recommend for the reader’s attention. Particularly if they then 
add a few explanatory notes about each of the books. And this article suggested that I 
should use the index to check that the chapter headings promised in the book’s 
Contents are actually followed.