what you get here

This is not a blog which opines on current events. It rather uses incidents, books (old and new), links and papers to muse about our social endeavours.
So old posts are as good as new! And lots of useful links!

The Bucegi mountains - the range I see from the front balcony of my mountain house - are almost 120 kms from Bucharest and cannot normally be seen from the capital but some extraordinary weather conditions allowed this pic to be taken from the top of the Intercontinental Hotel in late Feb 2020

Thursday, October 24, 2024

Thank God for the Social Media

Twitter, in particular, has been losing a large section of its customers due to the idiocy of its owner – in anticipation of its eventual demise, even I have taken out a (still dormant) sub to bluesky, where I have the handle bluesky @nomadron.bsky.social

The MSM refuses to give any coverage to police raids on journalists who 
protest against the Palestinian genocide – the Crispin Flintoff show is 
gloriously alone in the space it gives such brave people. Another rebel channel 
is Electronic Infada which exposed the police raid on the home of Asa Winstanley,
 seizing – as is their wont – all his electronic devices. As Media Lens explains, 
not a single MSM deigns to let the public know of this gross infringement of our 
basic rights.  

Propoganda Blitz – how the corporate media distort reality D Edwards and D 
Cromwell (2019) is a useful update, 40 years later, to Manufacturing Consent 
– the political economy of the mass media Edward Herman and Noam Chomsky 
(1989)

Most journalists imagine they set the public record straight and check the excesses of power, which Edmund Burke called a ‘fourth estate’. The BBC goes further and ordains itself a divinity on earth, ‘speaking truth to power’: an exquisite nonsense that has endured since its founder secretly wrote propaganda for a Tory prime minister during Britain’s General Strike.

Driven from the ‘mainstream’, Seymour Hersh had to publish his work outside the United States. Robert Parry set up his own independent news website where, in a final piece following a stroke in December 2017, he wrote, ‘Whether they would admit it or not, [Western journalists] believe in a “guided democracy” in which “approved” opinions are elevated – regardless of their absence of factual basis – and ‘unapproved evidence is brushed aside or disparaged regardless of its quality.’

The US channel Consortium News is one of the few which offers a truly independent view on what’s going on in the world and had this to say about Britain’s war on independent journalism. Just a couple of examples of where Twitter has given me news that MSM doesn’t

Palestinian academic wins her case against Sheffield Hallam University

another pro Palestine journalist raided pre-dawn - Asa Winstanley 17 October 2024 and all electronic equipment siezed

Tuesday, October 22, 2024

The Expandable Book

One of my favourite television watching is Seinfeld which ran for almost a decade from its 1989 start and has 180 episodes. One of them has Kramer, the goofy neighbour, sell the idea of a coffee book with a small nestling table attached and duly appearing on a television talk-show to explain the idea. In that same spirit, I offer you the concept of the “expandable book”. This is a book which expands into larger versions. At the moment Dispatches to the Next Generation is just over 150 pages but it links in turn lead to what must be several thousands of pages of reading. So it’s a huge resource.

It lists and comments on the hundreds of books which have been written in recent decades about “the crisis”. In that sense, it has something in common with the “50 Classic” series by Tom Butler-Bowen although I can give only a tantalising sense of the worth of the books I reference - compared to the 5 or so pages which Butler-Bowen’s books average for each of his 50.

Before we start even flicking a book, however, we need to have some questions in mind. This will help us quickly identify where (if at all) the text actually tries to develop answers. Typically, I found my exercise producing a list of statements viz

  • Western liberal capitalism has legitimacy as long as its political and economic systems work

  • The economic system (capitalism) has always had its critics – but the global financial crash of 2008; climate change; and Artificial Intelligence have made the case for radical change unassailable

  • For the second half of the 20th century, the political system (democracy) seemed free from such challenges - but has recently come under fire for its failure to make its citizens feel that it represents any more their interests

  • Political parties have indeed surrendered almost all of their functions – which I once described as representation, manifesto implementation, extension of public insight and protection – and are left only with the selection of elites.

  • Most of the terms used in discussions – such as neoliberalism, inequality, populism, identity – are useless slogans which don’t contribute to anyone’s understanding of what’s at stake

  • It was 1979 when Christopher Lasch produced his The Culture of Narcissism – American Life in an age of diminishing expectations which anticipated the present focus on self

  • The present situation suits “Individualists” down to the ground

  • Egalitarians” are at a loss – having lost their capacity to believe in solidarity and the engine of union pressure

  • The rest of us are utterly confused

  • The structure of power is basically out of balance – as Henry Mintzberg’s Rebalancing Society – radical renewal beyond left, right and center so clearly set more than a decade ago

  • But argument alone will not bring down the walls of privilege

  • The lesson of history is that force (or its threat) is needed to effect social change

  • Although history also tells us that it has to be non-violent

  • Where – in the absence of the labour movement - do we find and harness such force?

  • People power does not seem to have much lasting traction

Books about ”the global crisis or crises” are normally written by self-confident people who are trying to persuade us that their line of argument is correct. And they will therefore not spend much time on the arguments of their opponents. This author is not that sort of person. I’m only too aware of the tenuous nature of perceptions – that’s why I’m proud to call myself a ”sceptic”. A summary of each chapter follows -

1. Critical junctures identified

History is written by the victors – and the sycophants who surround them. Events were generally much more finely balanced than their versions admit. There’s too much fatalism around. Rec reading Covid 19 as a Critical Juncture and Out of the Belly of Hell

2.Trespassing is good for you

Intellectual specialisation has made it difficult for us to understand how the world is changing. Most leaders of organisations are in the grip of groupthink and need countervailing mechanisms of accountability to help them see new realities eg Janis, t’Hart, Syed

3. Putting Economics in its place

This intellectual discipline is deficient and yet has too much power. It needs to be brought down a peg or three. See Steve Keen, Brian Davey’s ”Credo”

4. The Blind men probe the Elephant

Talk of capitalism and post-capitalism is too loose and reified. There are various equally legitimate ways of perceiving the “beast”. See the table on 57 Varieties of Capitalism

5. A new social goal is sought for the commercial company

Shareholder value ignores other dimensions. Cooperative and social enterprises employ more people than we think – but have to struggle for legitimacy - see Paul Hirst, Colin Mayer, Ed Mayo, Charles Handy

6. Lessons of change explored

So much protest fails and few social enterprises have a multiplier effect. How do we create winnable coalitions? Appendix 2 lists the key books on both change and social change – more than 100.

7. The Search for Common Ground

Progressives are good at sounding off – and bad at seeking common ground. Change agents and coalitions sought. See Common Ground – democracy and collectivity in an age of individualism by Jeremy Gilbert

8. Conclusion - which explores the concepts of countervailing power; social enterprise

Almost 100 posts are incorporated into the little book which, at the moment, is 169 pages long. These can be viewed here

Monday, October 21, 2024

Down the Sewers with Right-Wing writers

They say that we should get out of our “bubbles” and be open to alternative voices. And the BBC certainly these days gives access to the entire spectrum of opinion from Tommy Robinson, Nigel Farage, Wes Streeting et al – particularly with interviews on such programmes as Political Thinking with Nick Robinson. Yesterday I steeled myself to listen to Matt Goodwin on this programme

But who, you might ask, is Goodwin? He was a political scientist who co-authored 
in 2018 a book I enjoyed National Populism – the revolt against liberal democracy 
but has since left academia to become a political advocate for the causes 
he previously only analysed. 

The discussion between Robinson and Goodwin became quite heated as he 
tirelessly rehearsed the usual arguments about excessive immigration 
(with which I partially agree), Muslims and this curious fixation on a “new class” 
which also figures in the current Conservative leadership contest.

Recommended Reading
The Routledge Companion to Fascism and the Far Right ed P Davis and D Lynch  (2002) 
Fascists  Michael Mann( 2004) Mann is one of the most interesting sociologists
The Road to Somewhere – the populist revolt and the future of British politics David 
Goodhart (2017)
Whiteshift – populism, immigration and the future of white majorities Eric Kaufmann 
(2018) https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/eric-kaufmann/ 
National Populism – the revolt against liberal democracy R Eatwell and M Goodwin (2018)
National Conversation on Immigration (Hope not Hate 2018)
The New Faces of Fascism – populism and the far right  Enzo Traverso (2019)
https://nomadron.blogspot.com/2020/09/demons-and-demos.html 
The Roots of Populism – neoliberalism and working class lives Brian Elliott 2021
America’s Cultural Revolution – how the radical left conquered everything Christopher 
Rufo (2023)
Values, Voice and Virtue – the new british politics” ; Matt Goodwin - review (2023)
Taboo; How making race sacred produced a cultural revolution; Eric Kaufmann (2024) 
Conservatism in Crisis – the rise of the bureaucratic class (2024) with an 
introduction by Kimi Badenoch, the current favourite in the Conservative leadership 
race which refers to the current labour government as being “left-wing” – a real joke 
since most of us view it as simply continuing the neoliberal policies of the previous 
government.

Sunday, October 20, 2024

Ructions about the latest Nobel Economics prize

The latest Nobel prize for Economics (actually only a Swedish bank award) is causing ructions. It has been won by Daren Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson for their trilogy Why Nations Fail – the origins of power, prosperity and poverty (2012); The Narrow Corridor – how nations struggle for liberty (2019) and Power and Progress – our thousand year struggle over technology and prosperity (2023) 

Michael Roberts asseses their value annually and offers what is certainly 
the most exhaustive treatment of the issue
 
The work for which they received the $1m prize is for research that purports to 
show that those countries that achieve prosperity and end poverty are those 
that adopt ‘democracy’ (and by that is meant Western-style liberal democracy 
where people can speak out (mostly), can vote for officials every so often and 
expect the law to protect their lives and property (hopefully). Societies that are 
controlled by elites without any democratic accountability are ‘extractive’ of 
resources, do not respect property and value and so over time do not prosper. 
In a series of papers applying some empirical analysis (ie correlating democracy 
(as defined) with levels of prosperity), the Nobel winners claim to show this. 
Indeed, the Nobel winners argue that colonisation of the Global South 
in the 18th and 19th centuries could be ‘inclusive’ and so turn the 
likes of North America into prosperous nations (forgetting the 
indigenous population) or ‘extractive’ and so keep countries in dire 
poverty (Africa). It all depends. Such is the theory.
Two problems, however, First, if growth and prosperity go hand in hand with 
‘democracy’ and the likes of the Soviet Union, China, Vietnam are considered 
to have elites that are ‘extractive’ or undemocratic, how do our Nobellists 
explain their undoubted economic performance? Apparently, it is explained 
by the fact they started out poor and had a lot of ‘catching up’ to do, but 
soon their extractive character will catch up with them and China’s hyper 
growth will run out of steam. Perhaps now? 
Second, is it correct to say that revolutions or political reforms are 
necessary to set things on the path to prosperity? Well, there may be 
some truth in that: would Russia in the early 20th century be where it is 
today without the 1917 revolution or China be where it is in 2024 without 
the revolution of 1949.  But our Nobellists do not present us with those 
examples: theirs are getting the vote in Britain in the 19th century or 
independence for the American colonies in the 1770s.
Richard Wolff’s video commentary on the Nobel prize-winners on X 
sounds a marvellously humorous and succinct note 

A decade or so ago Acemoglu and Johnson shared their insights in 
an interesting article
 
We pointed out that three broad clusters of long-run economic and 
political institutions are possible. In the first (Absent Leviathan), 
the state is weak, while societal collective action and various norms 
are strong and constrain political hierarchy. In the second 
(Despotic Leviathan), the state is strong; it crushes and further 
impairs an already weak society. In the third (Shackled Leviathan), 
there is a balance between the state’s and society’s capacities, 
which enables their coevolution toward greater strength and also 
undergirds a very different type of state—simultaneously powerful 
and still accountable and responsive to society. 
Economic modernization is almost impossible under the Absent 
Leviathan. It is possible under the Despotic Leviathan, and under 
some circumstances it can proceed rather rapidly. But it will not 
bring democracy or accountable behavior by rulers and bureaucrats. 
The positive feedback between political institutions and economic 
development is only a feature of the Shackled Leviathan. 
As a result, economic changes in, say, South Korea will have 
fundamentally different implications than when the same changes 
happen in China. These insights, though formulated in a different way 
and yielding different implications than in the previous literature, 
are nevertheless related to some classic arguments in political theory. 
Machiavelli [1961 (1532), p. 67] proposed similar ideas more than 
500 years ago, identifying a related trichotomy: 
“The people are everywhere anxious not to be dominated or oppressed 
by the nobles, and the nobles are out to dominate and to oppress the 
people. These opposed ambitions bring about one of three results: 
a principality, a free city, or anarchy.” 
We are, of course, not the first ones to think about the role of culture 
in politics. Although cultural factors are not part of many of the 
seminal frameworks of political science—for example, Tilly’s (1990) 
theory of the emergence of states; Moore’s (1966) theory of 
capitalism, fascism, and communism; or more orthodox Marxist 
frameworks for understanding political and economic change—
they have featured in important contributions. Huntington (1996) 
places a heavy emphasis on culture in his work on civilizations. 
Culture has also played a critical role in the modern literature on 
nationalism and identity (Anderson 1983, Laitin 1998, Horowitz 2000, 
Gellner 2009) and in the literature about the impact of religion on 
politics (Laitin 1986; Kalyvas 1996; GrzymałaBusse 2012, 2015). 
Putnam’s (1993) theory of good democratic governance, 
building on Banfield’s (1958) insights, also includes a central role 
for cultural factors. Finally, Almond & Verba’s (1963) seminal work 
merges culture and political behavior in understanding the support 
for democracy.  
The rest of the article is organized as follows. 
The next section introduces our conceptual framework and highlights 
the interplay between politics and culture. It is followed by three 
sections that apply this framework to illustrative cases of Despotic, 
Absent, and Shackled Leviathans, starting with the Chinese case. 
We then distill some of the lessons from these case studies and 
reevaluate modernization theory. The concluding section suggests 
directions for future work. 

FURTHER READING

Interview with James Robinson (2024)

Noah Smith’s view of the fracas (2024)
A 68 page article on the role of culture on institutions by Acemoglu and Robinson (2023)
Leviathans in CEEC countries 2019
A World Bank presentation about “The Shackled Leviathan: (probably 2018)
The Nobel Factor – the prize in economics, social democracy and the market factor 
A Offner and G Soederberg (2016)

Wednesday, October 16, 2024

Why is the English Establishment so Zionist?

The good news is that an Employment Tribunal has upheld Professor David 
Miller’s plea of unfair dismissal against Bristol University on the grounds that 
he was perfectly entitled to use arguments of anti-Zionism. 
The full judgement (of 120 pages) can be read here 

The unanimous judgment of the tribunal is:

  1. The claimant’s anti-Zionist beliefs qualified as a philosophical belief and as a protected characteristic pursuant to section 10 Equality Act 2010 at the material times.

  2. The claimant succeeds in claims of direct discrimination because of his philosophical belief contrary to section 13 Equality Act 2010 in relation to:

  3. The claimant succeeds in his claim for unfair dismissal pursuant to section 98 Employment Rights Act 1996.

  4. The claimant succeeds in his claim for wrongful dismissal (failure to pay notice).

  5. The claim for indirect discrimination is dismissed on withdrawal.

Professor Miller’s dismissal stemmed from a lecture in 2019 about which 2 Jewish students complained in which he identified Zionism as one of the five pillars of Islamophobia, the panel heard. The Community Security Trust, which campaigns against antisemitism, said Miller’s remarks were a “disgraceful slur”. According to one of few newspapers which bothered to cover the case

A review commissioned by the university found Miller had no case 
to answer because he did not express hatred towards Jews. In an 
email to the university’s student newspaper sent in February 2021 
Miller said: “Zionism is and always has been a racist, violent, 
imperialist ideology premised on ethnic cleansing.” In the message 
he also claimed the university’s Jewish Society was an “Israel 
lobby group”.
A separate review found these statements had been offensive to 
many, and in a hearing they were found to be “wrong and inappropriate”. 
He was then sacked for gross misconduct, the panel heard.

One prominent Conservative ex-Minister (Sir Alan Duncan) found 
himself being accused by his own party of anti-semisitism this year and, 
after being cleared, went on to express his view that the party was in the grip of 
a strong Israeli lobby - 
At a press conference in central London, Duncan went on to 
repeat his accusation that his party remained unduly influenced 
by people lobbying on behalf of the Israeli government. 
Money, improper influence, and the promotion of Israeli 
interests above our own have contributed to the destruction 
of the UK’s independent foreign policy,” he said, adding: 
“The flow of money and the influence behind the scenes that 
attaches to it need to be exposed.” (and here's his recent 
tweet about the scale of the Foreign Office capture by 
theIsraeli lobby


Many Labour party Mps – including Starmer, Reeves and Lammy – have 
received thousands of pounds from that lobby which has actually placed 
assistants within the party. The scale of the lobby’s power is revealed in 
this long Open Democracy report from 2009 
 
The presence of an Israel lobby as a factor in British public life is 
systematically ignored in British reporting. For example, a search of 
the newspaper database Lexis Nexis showed there have been only 154 
mentions of the Conservative Friends of Israel in the British press, 
the first of which was apparently on 22 September 1985. 
By contrast The Tobacco Manufacturers Association enjoyed 1,083 citations 
during the same period, and the Scotch Whisky Association no fewer 
than 2,895. The Conservative Party donor Michael Ashcroft has been the 
subject of 2,239 articles over the comparable time period, and the 
1922 Committee of Tory backbenchers got over 3,000. 
The purpose of this pamphlet is to enquire whether this paucity 
of public coverage is indeed a reflection of the real influence of the 
pro-Israel lobby in British government 

One national newspaper editor told us, “that’s one lobby I’ve never dared 
to take on.” From MPs, to senior BBC journalists and representatives of 
Britain’s largest charities, the pattern became depressingly familiar. 
Material would come flooding out on the phone or in a meeting, but then 
days later an email would arrive to say that they would not be able to 
take part. One MP taunted the authors that we would never “have the guts” 
to make a television programme about the pro-Israel lobby. It was, 
he told us, “the most powerful lobby by far in parliament. It’s a big story. 
If you have any balls you’ll make a programme about it.” 
When we returned to the MP later on to ask if he would talk to us on the 
record, he felt unable to come forward and do so. One front bench 
Conservative MP was so paranoid he insisted we remove the battery from 
our mobile phones to ensure our privacy during the conversation. 
It was only senior MPs whose careers are winding down that felt able 
 to voice what many MPs told us in private. One of them, 
Michael Mates, a member of the Intelligence and Security Committee 
and former Northern Ireland minister, told us on the record that 
“the pro-Israel lobby is the most powerful political lobby. 
There’s nothing to touch them.” 
Mates added: “I think their lobbying is done very discreetly, in very high 
places, which may be why it is so effective.” 
Some journalists we spoke to had been accused of antisemitism, and felt 
inevitably it had done some damage to their careers. Others, like the 
BBC’s Orla Guerin, against whom this very serious and damaging charge 
has repeatedly been made by the Israeli government, wouldn’t even talk 
to us off the record. It is easy enough to see why. Guerin is a brave, 
honest and compassionate reporter. Yet the Israeli government has 
repeatedly complained to the BBC that Guerin is “antisemitic” and 
showed “total identification with the goals and methods of Palestinian 
terror groups.” 
Natan Sharansky, a cabinet minister at the time, wrote a formal letter 
to the BBC  accusing her of “such a gross double standards to the Jewish 
state, it is difficult to see Ms Guerin’s report as anything but antisemitic”. 
The following year, when Guerin was awarded with an MBE for her reporting
, Sharansky said: “It is very sad that something as important as antisemitism 
is not taken into consideration when issuing this award, especially in 
Britain where the incidents of antisemitism are on the rise.” Officially 
sanctioned smears like this show why so many people shy away from 
confronting the influence of the Israel lobby. 
The former Conservative Party chairman and shadow foreign secretary, 
Michael Ancram, who is standing down as an MP at the next general 
election, did have the courage to talk to us. He told us that he had 
been accused of antisemitism “because I’ve been talking to Hamas and 
Hezbollah. I just take that with a pinch of salt.” The accusation of 
antisemitism even touches the least likely of people. Antony Lerman, a 
man steeped in Jewish culture and history, who has worked for much of 
his career combating antisemitism, was labelled “a nasty anti-Semite
on a website designed to expose antisemitism on The Guardian’s website, 
for an article he wrote during the making of the film. He told us: “I think 
there are people who are deliberately manipulating the use of the term 
antisemitism because they do see that it’s useful in defending Israel.”
The Conservative Friends of Israel is beyond doubt the best connected, 
and probably the best funded, of all Westminster lobbying groups. 
Eighty percent of Conservative MPs are members. The leader of the 
Conservative Party is often expected to appear at their events, while 
the shadow foreign secretary and his team are subjected to persistent 
pressure by the CFI. 

Labour Friends of Israel has taken more MPs on trips than any other 
group. Only the CFI comes close. Since 2001, the LFI has arranged more than 
sixty free trips for MPs. LFI and CFI trips combined account for over 
13% of all funded trips for MPs and candidates. That’s more trips to Israel, 
a country with a population smaller than London’s, than to Europe, 
America or Africa. Even in America, where the pro-Israel lobby is 
extremely influential, trips to Israel account for only ten percent of all 
politicians’ foreign trips.
The group is similarly well connected within the party, and has regular 
meetings with David Miliband and his Foreign Office team to make Israel’s 
case. Labour MPs told us that young, ambitious MPs see a role at LFI as a 
good way to get ahead. Chairs of the LFI very often go on to become 
ministers. James Purnell and Jim Murphy, the Secretary of State for 
Scotland, are two recent chairmen. Ivan Lewis, the foreign office 
minister with responsibility for the Middle East, is a former vice-chair.
The genocide which the Israeli government is inflicting on Gaza and 
Lebanon is producing, in the UK and Europe, the largest public demonstrations. 
But the violence being shown to the demonstrators (particularly in 
Germany) reveals the strength and power of this lobby – as  
this Novara podcast reveals

UPDATES

An important article on the complicity of the MSM 

Ta-Nihisi Coates responds brilliantly here  to provocative questioning from US television about his treatment of Palestine in his new book "The Message" 

One of the two people left running for the Tory leadership, Robert Jenrick, 
has said the Star of David should be displayed at every point of entry to 
the UK to show “we stand with Israel”. He told a Conservative Friends of Israel 
event he wanted Britain to be “the most welcoming country in the world for 
Israelis and the Jewish community”. He said that, while immigration minister, 
he had pushed for Israelis travelling to Britain to be able to use e-gates. 
He said this would mean that at “every airport and point of entry to our 
great country”, there was a Star of David, as a “symbol that we support Israel