what you get here

This is not a blog which opines on current events. It rather uses incidents, books (old and new), links and papers to muse about our social endeavours.
So old posts are as good as new! And lots of useful links!

The Bucegi mountains - the range I see from the front balcony of my mountain house - are almost 120 kms from Bucharest and cannot normally be seen from the capital but some extraordinary weather conditions allowed this pic to be taken from the top of the Intercontinental Hotel in late Feb 2020

Thursday, April 6, 2023

The new wave of Artificial Intelligence

Something called GPT-4 was released some 3 weeks ago and is being hailed as an innovation that rivals the atom bomb in the scale of its significance. The Center for Humane Technology puts it thus - “imagine that 50% of the engineers who built tha plane you’re stepping onto tell you that there is a 10% chance of it crashing. Would you board?”. The Centre is a much-needed body which has been running since 2018 and has some 65 podcasts to its credit – which are also available as transcripts For those who prefer a more light-hearted approach, here is a journalist’s account of a week spent with the device.

At the end of last month, top-level people in the field published an open-letter seeking a six-monthly moratorium on research in the field in order that the dangers can be properly assessed – in the absence of which recommending that government steps in. The Centre for Humane Technology brings in Robert Oppenheimer to make the point that the threat of the atomic bomb was defused by test-ban treaties. As an example of the capacity of the new device, it has managed to co-author a recent book “Impromptu – ampflifying our humanity through AI" by Reid Hoffman and...AI (2023)"

"The Guardian" newspaper has today a useful article on how it has identified a couple of articles which seem to have been written by GPT-4 and the steps it is taking behind the scenes to avoid this - but the speed with which the device is being taken up and the scale of resultant plagiarism is deeply worrying. 

There are very few of us who dare to challenge technological change. Most of us fear the ridicule involved – being the targets of taunts of being Canutes or Luddites. It, therefore, took a lot of courage for Jerry Mander in 1978 to produce Four Arguments for the elimination of television and for Neil Postman to follow this up in 1985 with “Amusing Ourselves to Death”. And, with his “In the absence of the sacred – the failure of technology” (1992) Jerry Mander took his critique our technological society even further. In this provocative work, Mander challenges the utopian promise of technological society and tracks its devastating impact on cultures worldwide. The Western world’s loss of a sense of the sacred in the natural world, he says, has led us toward global environmental disaster and social disorder - and worse lies ahead. Yet models for restoring our relationship with the Earth exist in the cultures of native peoples, whose values and skills have enabled them to survive centuries of invasion and exploitation.

Far from creating paradise on Earth, technology has instead produced an unsustainable 
contest for resources. Mander surveys the major technologies shaping the “new world 
order”, computers, telecommunications, space exploration, genetic engineering, robotics, 
and the corporation itself and warns that they are merging into a global mega-technology,
 with dire environmental and political results. Needless to say, none of such book were 
taken seriously. 
It took perhaps a BBC television series of technological dystopia Black Mirror 
– which first hit screens exactly a decade ago – for us to begin to realise that technology
 (in the shape of the social media) has its perverse side.  And here’s a useful
discussion with Yuri Harari about AI

More recent texts
Impromptu – ampflifying our humanity through AI" by AI and Reid Hoffman (2023) 
The Age of AI; and our human future H Kissinger, E Scmidt and D Huttenlocher 2021
Ten Arguments for Deleting your social media right now; Jaron Lanier (2018)
Utopia is Creepy; Nicholas Carr (2016)
The Internet is not the Answer; Andrew Keen (2015)
From Guttenberg to Zuckenberg – what you really need to know about the Internet; John Naughton (2013)
To Save everything click here – the folly of technological solutionism; Efgeni Morozov (2013)
The Shallows - what the internet is doing to our brain Nicholas Carr (2010)

Saturday, April 1, 2023

Change for the Better?


"clear ideas" Renee Magritte (1958)
 

I'm just finalising my latest book which bears this title and, as subtitle, "a life in reform"

It's a mix of genres - but most decidedly, as Magritte himself might have put it, "this is not a text"! 

Although it's not quite finished, I've put it up on the list of Ebooks you will find in the top-right column when you scroll down. BUT IT HAS A NEW NAME - "The Search for Democracy"!


Warning to Reader


  • People do not normally read a book about reform with any expectation of pleasure

  • Such texts will normally figure as required reading in student courses, for example, in public administration reform.

  • But this not a textbook on administrative reform….

  • It is, rather, the story of an academically-inclined person who got involved, in the late 1960s, in community politics - and quickly rose to a position of strategic influence in Strathclyde Regional Council (Europe’s largest) for 16 years.

  • On the basis of the innovative strategies I helped develop in a Regional authority covering half of Scotland, I then found myself working and living for the next 20 years in Central Europe and Central Asia - as a consultant in “institutional development”

  • This is the story of how and what I have learned as a result of those endeavours in about a dozen countries

  • I’m fed up with books which have unrelieved text – so have tried to liven things up a bit by the use of tables and boxes and the odd diagram

CONTENTS

Preface - in which I recall how a radio series first aroused my interest în organisations; reflect on this book’s origins; and why I think it may be of interest

1. The state of the State is chapter One in which I explain my first encounter with the deficiencies of local administration in 1968. In 1990 many of us were forced to start rethinking the role of the State - privatisation had, in the 1980s, left us wondering how far this development could redefine its role; and the unexpected fall of the Berlin Wall and of communist regimes then had us concocting pathways to capitalism and democracy.

2. Administrative Reform in the new millenium - captures one man’s attempt in 1999 to convey to a foreign audience his understanding of the organisational changes which had taken place în the 30 years from 1970 to the new millennium – particularly în the 1990s

3. Impervious Power – the eastern approaches reflects on the experience of western con-sultan..ts in central Europe and central Asia aș they wrestled with the transition to what their tiny minds assumed to be democracy and free markets.

4. Question Time A little British book about “the attack on the state” provoked me in 2018 into exploring some questions about the huge literature on public management reform (mainly academic) which has developed since the 1990s. include the following -

- How do countries compare internationally in the performance of their public services ?

- Has privatisation lived up to its hype?

- what alternatives are there to state and private provision

- why do governments still spend mega bucks on consultants?

5. The Management Virus The private and public sectors alike seem to have been taken over in recent decades by hordes of managers. How has this happened? How do we stop it? This chapter and its reading list can be viewed here

6. The echoes of Praxis As someone who has straddled the worlds of politics, academia and consultancy, I am disappointed by the sparseness of the practitioner contribution to the literature. By default we are left with academics who interview those în government and sometimes train them and consultants – allthough the former are the more voluble

7.Take Back Control? Which explores the implication of the quotation which adorns the book’s cover and asks how exactly might democracy improve the operation of our public services? Is this just a question of giving local government more power, as some would argue – ie giving a greater voice to the local public through their local representatives having a stronger legal and strategic role? Or does it require a more open and participative process – as many would argue? Or does it perhaps mean a greater say by the workforce in the everyday management of public services? Or a combination of all the above? Hilary Wainwright is amongst the very few who have taken this question seriously – although the Dutch, with the Buurtzog model, are now exploring the question

8. Theories of Change în which I question the compartmentalisation of the subject of change into studies of psychology, technology, organisation and society and offer an annotated bibliography of some 80 books

9. Inconclusion 

Just Words – a sceptic’s glossary (2023 updated version) it’s 60 pages so best read separately (my answer to Ralston Saul’s more voluminous The Doubter’s Companion1994)