The
outbreak of Israel-Hamas violence last weekend is one of these
moments which compels a response – but not a knee-jerk one. A more
contextual one is called for such as offered by an Australian
journalist (who happens to be Jewish) whose
Twitter analysis has just gone viral. Richard Loewenstein has
written several books the most relevant of which is My
Israel Question But the most objective book is probably Enemies
and Neighbours
– jews and arabs 1917-2017 by Ian Black (2017)
What
is striking is the number of prominent Israelis who are supportive of
the defenceless Palestinians who have operated for several years in
what even the United Nations calls an “open prison”. And it’s
not just Yuval Harari who protests against the Israel government -
I’m just reading Ten
Myths about Israel
(2017)
by the famous Israeli historian, Ilan
Pappe,
who is part of a group of local
historians hostile to the Zionism which has increased the grip it has
on the country in the past half-century. Indeed Pappe co-authored
in 2015 On
Palestine with
no less a figure than Noem
Chomsky.
Avi
Shlaim is another historian critical of Israel
It
was good to see the US journal Boston
Review put the violence properly in context with a piece which
has just appeared
Hamas
differs from the other major Palestinian party, Fatah, led by Mahmoud
Abbas and based in the West Bank, which has been occupied by Israel
since the 1967 Six-Day War. (Gaza was formally occupied then as well;
it was not until 2005 that Israel withdrew soldiers and Jewish
settlements.) Though initially committed to armed resistance, Fatah
was eventually prepared to recognize Israel and negotiate
with
it in hopes of establishing a Palestinian state—the so-called
two-state solution, which was pursued, though unsuccessfully, during
the Oslo negotiations of the 1990s. Hamas and Fatah have had a
contentious relationship, which has at times turned
violent.
It
bears noting, however, that the UN partition is regarded as an
injustice even by Palestinians who have nothing to do with Hamas. The
signal event that followed from the partition and that has been
seared into Palestinians’ memory is the
forced expulsion or
flight of 700,000 of their forbears from the territory the UN
assigned to Israel, the killing of another 15,000,
and the destruction of at least 400 villages—what Palestinians call
the Nakba (Arabic for “catastrophe”). Many of those displaced in
these years ended up in Gaza.
Increased
Israeli settlements
There
has been a dramatic increase in settlement since the 2022 election.
According to the Israeli NGO Peace Now, the government “promoted
12,855 housing units”
in the West Bank in the first six months of 2023 alone, almost twice
as many as it did in the preceding two years combined. In addition,
the demolition or seizure of Palestinian homes in East
Jerusalem,
and attacks
by settlers on
Palestinians, continues. The UN’s Office for the Coordination of
Humanitarian Affairs reports that 752 “Palestinian-owned
structures”
in the West Bank have been destroyed between January and October of
this year, displacing 1,182 people, whereas the corresponding figures
for all of 2022 were 954 and 1,032. Violence by West Bank settlers
against Palestinians has likewise increased
sharply since
2021.
In
short, Hamas and the ultra-religious parties that are now part of
Israel’s government are defined by irreconcilable historical,
religious, and political narratives. These beliefs are hardly new,
nor are they sole source of the enmity between Israel and Hamas, or
the only explanation for the October 7 attack. Still, it cannot be
understood fully without taking them into account. Furthermore, the
diminished stature of Fatah in the West Bank, Hamas’s dominance in
Gaza, and the powerful role of ultranationalist parties in Israeli
politics have together increased the probability of violent
confrontations between the IDF and the Al-Qassem Brigades.
As
for the future
the
plight of Gza’s more than 2 million people will doubtless polarize
the Middle East to an extent not seen in many years, especially if
the war continues for weeks or months. The calling up of 300,000 IDF
reservists and the massing of 100,000 in southern Israel, confirmed
by
Israel’s chief military spokesman, suggest that Netanyahu’s
government has, at the very least, not ruled out that option.
The
model of two states living by side—Palestinian having full control
over the West Bank and Gaza, with East Jerusalem as the capital—was
roughly the goal of the 1990s Oslo negotiations, but it has become
much more complicated to accomplish because of what has occurred in
the West Bank. Since 1967, 279
Jewish settlements have
been established there, and they are now home to 700,000 Israeli
Jews. For a territorially continuous and substantial Palestinian
state to emerge the settlements would have to dismantled, and Israel
would have to yield East Jerusalem. No Israeli government would want
to embark on that politically explosive mission, and so long as
religious parties play a role in governing, it won’t be entertained
even as an idea. More fundamentally, just as Hamas denies the
legitimacy of Israel and rejects a two-state solution,
ultra-religious Israeli parties reject the very notion of a
Palestinian state, no matter its configuration. Furthermore, the
scale and surprise of Hamas’s attack could well embolden and
strengthen Israelis who warn that any kind of Palestinian state would
pose a mortal threat to their country.
We
are, then, left with the dismal and dangerous future featuring
intermittent cycles of violence between Israel and Hamas. As always
no one will suffer more than civilians—Israelis, but particularly
Palestinians living in Gaza. And while this particular confrontation
may pass without other states joining the fray, we cannot count on
that happening forever.
Still,
we have witnessed momentous and unexpected changes in the last
twenty-five years—including the end of apartheid in South Africa,
the collapse of the Soviet Union, and before that the end of
communist rule in Eastern Europe. Changes within Israel and in the
world that make for a more hopeful turn of events cannot be ruled
out, especially as voices for dialogue
and reconciliation exist
within Israel and among Palestinians. That, at least, must be our
hope.
Other
useful links
https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/impending-genocide
https://bylinetimes.com/2023/10/16/gazas-last-stand-the-dangers-of-a-second-nakba/
https://www.declassifieduk.org/lawless-in-gaza-why-britain-and-the-west-back-israels-crimes/
https://indi.ca/the-west-is-showing-its-whole-genocidal-ass/
good
analysis of the background to the conflict
https://indi.ca/why-should-i-hate-hamas/
https://www.conter.scot/2023/10/11/defend-gaza-oppose-green-lighting-war-crimes/
https://www.councilestatemedia.uk/p/we-are-being-fed-misinformation-to?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
https://consortiumnews.com/2023/10/11/craig-murray-condemnation/
https://www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2023/october/get-out-of-there-now
https://newleftreview.org/issues/ii96/articles/perry-anderson-the-house-of-zion.pdf2015
Rethinking
the politics of Israel-Palestine Bruno Kreisky Forum 2014
https://issuu.com/oxfordpoliticalreview/docs/opr_issue_9_pr_ml_issuu/s/23567523