Rebellion comes naturally to most of us – particularly to late teenagers. As we get older, we want to make our mark in the world, to demonstrate our distinctiveness to our academic peers. So I can understand why David Betz feels it necessary to show that his coat is made from different material than that of other academic military historians such as Colin Grey or Lawrence Freedman.
Our reputations – let alone social media - require us to try to find an appropriate niche into which people can put us. Betz developed his view further in this article published in late 2023 The Future of War is civil war which is worth reading IN FULL
I personally am convinced of the inevitability of outright, active, and wide-scale civil war in North America and Western Europe. The best that can be hoped for, I think, is to diminish the period of horror. Some readers may be more optimistic; none, though, can objectively deny that there are strong and well-understood indicators showing that our current societal arrangements are failing at an accelerating rate.
This last section of the paper is based in part on approximately ten years of lurking on the darker corners of the internet listening to what incipient revolutionaries, neo-anarchists, and want-to-be militiamen think and talk about….
I shall not conclude with thoughts on what might be done to prevent the occurrence of the civil wars that are coming because there is nothing that can be done about it. The unfortunate reality is that society has already passed the tipping point after which prevention of the eruption of violent civil conflict is impossible.
You can almost see this guy rubbing his hands and saying “I told you so”!
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